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Notes by: Karl Young
Raphael's earlier forecast gave sigma® = 2e-5; we made it 2.5 times larger and used 1e-4 (2σ)
Stephen's Forecast:
components: sync+dust delensing option: iterative delensing CMBxCMB σ(τ=0.066)=1.95e-03 σ(h=67.74)=8.41e-02 σ(As=2.142e-09)=7.43e-12 σ(r=0.0)=9.41e-05 σ(Ωch2=0.1188)=2.11e-04 σ(ns=0.9667)=1.08e-03 σ(Ωbh2=0.0223)=1.86e-05 effective level of foreground residuals, reff = 8.74e-07 degradation of the noise after comp. sep. = 1.10e+00 noise in the cleaned CMB map [uK-arcmin] = 9.02e-01
These forecasts were run using the CMB4cast Fisher matrix code (http://portal.nersc.gov/project/mp107/index.html, Errard & Feeney et al.), assuming access to T, E, B and d information, with the deflection estimated using the iterative EB estimator. The code assumes Planck-2015-level synchrotron and dust foregrounds, forecasting the experiment's ability to clean these foregrounds using a parametric maximum-likelihood approach, assuming the foreground spectral indices are constant on patches of size ~15 degrees across (N_side = 4). This is all probably a little out-of-date, being based on the Planck 2015 results and cosmology, but it doesn't seem to give a significantly different answer to Raphael's code (and I can rerun with a different tau if you'd like).